Swerve

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$14.16
20.23 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
81.58%
995 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
76 openings · below min
7 days
846 openings · below min
30 days
995 openings · below min
since tracking started
995 openings · below min
43.5%82.0%120.5%

Small sample. 995 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h7681.91%±38.0—sample
7d84679.47%±12.6—sample
30d99581.58%±11.4—sample
All99581.58%±11.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

P250 | Cassette (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec$14.1620.23 coins$0.080.11 coins0.01x
Glock-18 | Grinder (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical$14.1620.23 coins$1.301.85 coins0.09x
AUG | Chameleon (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertSB...hitman$14.1620.23 coins$3.114.45 coins0.22x
AK-47 | Slate (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$14.1620.23 coins$3.294.7 coins0.23x
AUG | Chameleon (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$14.1620.23 coins$3.114.45 coins0.22x
Nova | Walnut (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$14.1620.23 coins$2.042.92 coins0.14x
★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)knife · gold$14.1620.23 coins$83.15119 coins5.87x
SSG 08 | Carbon Fiber (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon$14.1620.23 coins$4.236.04 coins0.30x
AUG | Chameleon (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$14.1620.23 coins$3.114.45 coins0.22x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —