Tanned

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$104.82

150 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

87.94%

506 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

112 openings · below min

7 days

413 openings · below min

30 days

506 openings · below min

since tracking started

506 openings · below min

57.5%94.5%131.5%

Small sample. 506 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	112	94.27%±36.3	—	sample
7d	413	85.02%±16.7	—	sample
30d	506	87.94%±16.0	—	sample
All	506	87.94%±16.0	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | X-Ray (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$105150 coins$1,2821,832 coins12.23x3h

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$105150 coins$1,1251,607 coins10.73x3h

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$105150 coins$1,1251,607 coins10.73x4d

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$105150 coins$1,1251,607 coins10.73x8d

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knifeMeluhdy$105150 coins$1,0401,485 coins9.92x1d

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$105150 coins$1,0401,485 coins9.92x6d

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$105150 coins$7951,136 coins7.59x1d

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · coverttwitch.tv/MrBarnee$105150 coins$7951,136 coins7.59x4d

★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$105150 coins$7951,136 coins7.59x6d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Tec-9 | Toxic (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$105150 coins$9.1813.11 coins0.09x1h

Souvenir AUG | Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$105150 coins$1.402 coins0.01x1h

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Covert$105150 coins$61.3887.68 coins0.59x1h

Souvenir AUG | Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial GradeBig yahu$105150 coins$1.402 coins0.01x1h

PP-Bizon | Irradiated Alert (Factory New)weapon · consumer$105150 coins$18.2126.02 coins0.17x3h

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Covert$105150 coins$61.3887.68 coins0.59x3h

Souvenir Glock-18 | Reactor (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$105150 coins$98.68141 coins0.94x3h

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Well-Worn)weapon · classified$105150 coins$267381 coins2.54x3h

Souvenir AUG | Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$105150 coins$1.402 coins0.01x3h

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Covert$105150 coins$61.3887.68 coins0.59x3h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,282 (12.23x)