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The Brew

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$3.14
4.49 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
86.34%
13.2K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
106.76%±45.091,307 openings
7 days
85.71%±8.8310.9K openings
30 days
86.34%±8.1213.2K openings
since tracking started
86.34%±8.1213.2K openings
61.0%106.7%152.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,307106.76%±45.1—sample
7d10.9K85.71%±8.83—sample
30d13.2K86.34%±8.12—sample
All13.2K86.34%±8.12—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$3.144.49 coins$639912 coins203.2x
StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$3.144.49 coins$639912 coins203.2x
StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$3.144.49 coins$639912 coins203.2x
StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$3.144.49 coins$639912 coins203.2x
StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$3.144.49 coins$639912 coins203.2x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$3.144.49 coins$0.070.1 coins0.02x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$3.144.49 coins$0.070.1 coins0.02x
StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$3.144.49 coins$4.486.4 coins1.43x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$3.144.49 coins$0.070.1 coins0.02x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$3.144.49 coins$0.070.1 coins0.02x
StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedDJSHOWER$3.144.49 coins$3.645.2 coins1.16x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$3.144.49 coins$0.070.1 coins0.02x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$3.144.49 coins$0.070.1 coins0.02x
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$3.144.49 coins$0.630.9 coins0.20x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · mil specYagislovas$3.144.49 coins$0.070.1 coins0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $639 (203.2x)