The Creator

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$317.97
454 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
78.74%
177 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
101 openings · below min
30 days
177 openings · below min
since tracking started
177 openings · below min
59.0%77.5%96.0%

Small sample. 177 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d10177.58%±17.9—sample
30d17778.74%±13.6—sample
All17778.74%±13.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny$318454 coins$565807 coins1.78x
MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$318454 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$318454 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny$318454 coins$565807 coins1.78x
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny$318454 coins$565807 coins1.78x
MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$318454 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumerswerve$318454 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,144 (3.60x)