The Sauce

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$852.53
1,218 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
97.46%
168 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
82 openings · below min
30 days
168 openings · below min
since tracking started
168 openings · below min
67.5%120.8%174.0%

Small sample. 168 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d82122.29%±50.9—sample
30d16897.46%±29.4—sample
All16897.46%±29.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$8531,218 coins$6,6899,556 coins7.85x
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$8531,218 coins$6,6899,556 coins7.85x
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$8531,218 coins$6,6899,556 coins7.85x
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$8531,218 coins$4,8256,893 coins5.66x
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$8531,218 coins$4,8256,893 coins5.66x
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$8531,218 coins$4,8256,893 coins5.66x
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$8531,218 coins$4,8256,893 coins5.66x
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$8531,218 coins$4,8256,893 coins5.66x

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $9,325 (10.94x)