Treasure Chest
A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$164.93
236 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
95.17%
471 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 471 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$165236 coins$1,3891,985 coins8.42x
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$165236 coins$1,3891,985 coins8.42x
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$165236 coins$1,3631,947 coins8.26x
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$165236 coins$1,3631,947 coins8.26x
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$165236 coins$1,3631,947 coins8.26x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire$165236 coins$1,3321,903 coins8.08x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire$165236 coins$1,3321,903 coins8.08x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire$165236 coins$1,3321,903 coins8.08x
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby⚜TOB⚜$165236 coins$1,2361,766 coins7.50x
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · RubyFybZ$165236 coins$1,2361,766 coins7.50x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire$165236 coins$1,3321,903 coins8.08x
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · SapphireBulletJackpotOnKick$165236 coins$9661,380 coins5.86x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $1,389 (8.42x)