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Tripwire

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$115.55
165 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
100.68%
3,820 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
274 openings · below min
7 days
101.15%±11.573,361 openings
30 days
100.68%±10.793,820 openings
since tracking started
100.68%±10.793,820 openings
49.5%83.5%117.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h27483.55%±33.5—sample
7d3,361101.15%±11.6—sample
30d3,820100.68%±10.8—sample
All3,820100.68%±10.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · legendary$116165 coins$2,7103,872 coins23.45x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · legendary$116165 coins$2,7103,872 coins23.45x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · legendary$116165 coins$2,7103,872 coins23.45x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · legendary$116165 coins$2,7103,872 coins23.45x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · legendary$116165 coins$2,7103,872 coins23.45x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · legendary$116165 coins$2,7103,872 coins23.45x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · legendary$116165 coins$2,7103,872 coins23.45x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · legendaryEspião$116165 coins$2,7103,872 coins23.45x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · legendary$116165 coins$2,7103,872 coins23.45x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · legendary$116165 coins$2,7103,872 coins23.45x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$116165 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$116165 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$116165 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$116165 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$116165 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
★ Karambit | Bright Water (Factory New)knife · covertbradbeloved$116165 coins$7021,003 coins6.07x
P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New)weapon · Common$116165 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New)weapon · Common$116165 coins$0.010.02 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · consumer$116165 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade$116165 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,710 (23.45x)