Vacation

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1,540.71
2,201 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
116.88%
66 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
18 openings · below min
7 days
62 openings · below min
30 days
66 openings · below min
since tracking started
66 openings · below min
24.0%121.2%218.5%

Small sample. 66 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h18121.22%±96.6—sample
7d62124.33%±53.6—sample
30d66116.88%±50.8—sample
All66116.88%±50.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | rain (Foil) | Krakow 2017sticker · remarkable$1,5412,201 coins$26.1237.31 coins0.02x
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$1,5412,201 coins$3,2224,603 coins2.09x
Sticker | rain | Atlanta 2017sticker · High Grade$1,5412,201 coins$16.1823.11 coins0.01x
Sticker | rain | Atlanta 2017sticker · High Grade$1,5412,201 coins$16.1823.11 coins0.01x
AUG | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$1,5412,201 coins$1,0631,519 coins0.69x
Sticker | rain (Foil) | Krakow 2017sticker · remarkable$1,5412,201 coins$26.1237.31 coins0.02x
M4A4 | Howl (Well-Worn)weapon · contraband$1,5412,201 coins$3,3464,780 coins2.17x
AWP | Medusa (Factory New)weapon · covert$1,5412,201 coins$5,4157,736 coins3.51x
Sticker | rain | Atlanta 2017sticker · High Grade$1,5412,201 coins$16.1823.11 coins0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $13.7K (8.90x)