Vinyl

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$56.76
81.08 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
92.24%
24.4K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
68.77%±17.662,063 openings
7 days
89.44%±7.1219.3K openings
30 days
92.24%±6.5024.4K openings
since tracking started
92.24%±6.5024.4K openings
50.5%75.0%99.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2,06368.77%±17.7—sample
7d19.3K89.44%±7.12—sample
30d24.4K92.24%±6.50—sample
All24.4K92.24%±6.50—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$56.7681.08 coins$5,2077,439 coins91.75x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$56.7681.08 coins$5,2077,439 coins91.75x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$56.7681.08 coins$5,2077,439 coins91.75x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covertN4l3x$56.7681.08 coins$5,2077,439 coins91.75x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$56.7681.08 coins$4,7906,842 coins84.39x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$56.7681.08 coins$4,7906,842 coins84.39x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$56.7681.08 coins$4,7906,842 coins84.39x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$56.7681.08 coins$4,7906,842 coins84.39x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$56.7681.08 coins$4,7906,842 coins84.39x

Latest dropsnewest first

Music Kit | Darude, Moments CSGOmusic kit · High Grade$56.7681.08 coins$2.643.77 coins0.05x
Music Kit | Darude, Moments CSGOmusic kit · High Grade$56.7681.08 coins$2.643.77 coins0.05x
Music Kit | Darude, Moments CSGOmusic kit · High Grade$56.7681.08 coins$2.643.77 coins0.05x
Music Kit | Darude, Moments CSGOmusic kit · High Grade$56.7681.08 coins$2.643.77 coins0.05x
Music Kit | Darude, Moments CSGOmusic kit · High Grade$56.7681.08 coins$2.643.77 coins0.05x
Music Kit | Darude, Moments CSGOmusic kit · High Grade$56.7681.08 coins$2.643.77 coins0.05x
Music Kit | Darude, Moments CSGOmusic kit · High Grade$56.7681.08 coins$2.643.77 coins0.05x
Music Kit | Darude, Moments CSGOmusic kit · High Grade$56.7681.08 coins$2.643.77 coins0.05x
Music Kit | Darude, Moments CSGOmusic kit · High Grade$56.7681.08 coins$2.643.77 coins0.05x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $5,207 (91.75x)