Waterworks

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$42.40

60.57 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

96.07%

8,721 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

82.07%±19.961,222 openings

7 days

99.81%±12.407,282 openings

30 days

96.07%±10.688,721 openings

since tracking started

96.07%±10.688,721 openings

61.5%87.3%113.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	1,222	82.07%±20.0	—	sample
7d	7,282	99.81%±12.4	—	sample
30d	8,721	96.07%±10.7	—	sample
All	8,721	96.07%±10.7	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covert$42.4060.57 coins$5,9178,453 coins139.6x4d

★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covert$42.4060.57 coins$5,9178,453 coins139.6x5d

★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covert$42.4060.57 coins$5,9178,453 coins139.6x6d

★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$42.4060.57 coins$2,0052,864 coins47.28x3h

★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphirerose-2fdbca$42.4060.57 coins$2,0052,864 coins47.28x7h

★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$42.4060.57 coins$2,0052,864 coins47.28x22h

★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · covert · SapphireDylanOnCustomK$42.4060.57 coins$2,0052,864 coins47.28x1d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$42.4060.57 coins$5.938.47 coins0.14x12m

Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$42.4060.57 coins$70.36101 coins1.66x12m

Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$42.4060.57 coins$5.938.47 coins0.14x12m

Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedBobby$42.4060.57 coins$70.36101 coins1.66x12m

Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$42.4060.57 coins$5.938.47 coins0.14x40m

Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedBobby$42.4060.57 coins$5.938.47 coins0.14x40m

Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$42.4060.57 coins$5.938.47 coins0.14x43m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $5,917 (139.6x)