Webbed

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1,055.73
1,508 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
79.15%
324 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
14 openings · below min
7 days
210 openings · below min
30 days
324 openings · below min
since tracking started
324 openings · below min
-0.5%151.5%303.5%

Small sample. 324 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h14138.80%±163.9—sample
7d21073.93%±29.5—sample
30d32479.15%±22.5—sample
All32479.15%±22.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$1,0561,508 coins$122174 coins0.12x
★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$1,0561,508 coins$122174 coins0.12x
★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$1,0561,508 coins$122174 coins0.12x
★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$1,0561,508 coins$122174 coins0.12x
★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$1,0561,508 coins$122174 coins0.12x
★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$1,0561,508 coins$122174 coins0.12x
★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covert$1,0561,508 coins$1,3001,858 coins1.23x
★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · knifes$1,0561,508 coins$5,3337,618 coins5.05x
★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$1,0561,508 coins$122174 coins0.12x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $19.7K (18.63x)