Weekend

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$4.69
6.7 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
89.38%
6,500 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
522 openings · below min
7 days
86.47%±11.234,676 openings
30 days
89.38%±9.656,500 openings
since tracking started
89.38%±9.656,500 openings
59.0%99.0%139.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h52299.05%±39.5—sample
7d4,67686.47%±11.2—sample
30d6,50089.38%±9.65—sample
All6,50089.38%±9.65—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$4.696.7 coins$0.350.5 coins0.07x
M4A1-S | Night Terror (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet$4.696.7 coins$1.061.51 coins0.23x
M4A1-S | Night Terror (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet$4.696.7 coins$1.061.51 coins0.23x
Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$4.696.7 coins$0.350.5 coins0.07x
MAG-7 | Insomnia (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff$4.696.7 coins$0.040.06 coins0.01x
Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$4.696.7 coins$0.350.5 coins0.07x
Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$4.696.7 coins$0.350.5 coins0.07x
M4A1-S | Night Terror (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet$4.696.7 coins$1.061.51 coins0.23x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —