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A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$41.45
59.22 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
82.05%
310 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
9 openings · below min
7 days
248 openings · below min
30 days
310 openings · below min
since tracking started
310 openings · below min
32.5%131.5%230.5%

Small sample. 310 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h9131.55%±98.3—sample
7d24883.08%±14.1—sample
30d31082.05%±12.3—sample
All31082.05%±12.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

USP-S | Target Acquired (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$41.4559.22 coins$146208 coins3.51x
USP-S | Target Acquired (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$41.4559.22 coins$146208 coins3.51x
MP9 | Pandora's Box (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$41.4559.22 coins$118168 coins2.84x
M4A1-S | Moss Quartz (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$41.4559.22 coins$24.7135.3 coins0.60x
CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$41.4559.22 coins$95.20136 coins2.30x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —