Zipped

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$193.61

277 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

90.67%

959 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

83 openings · below min

7 days

888 openings · below min

30 days

959 openings · below min

since tracking started

959 openings · below min

38.5%89.0%139.5%

Small sample. 959 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	83	88.90%±49.9	—	sample
7d	888	88.98%±21.9	—	sample
30d	959	90.67%±21.1	—	sample
All	959	90.67%±21.1	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)weapon · legendary$194277 coins$10.4K14,807 coins53.53x5d

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$194277 coins$8,49812,140 coins43.89x3d

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$194277 coins$7,03410,049 coins36.33x1d

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$194277 coins$3,7155,307 coins19.19x2d

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$194277 coins$3,7155,307 coins19.19x3d

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryArrrbaccos$194277 coins$3,7155,307 coins19.19x6d

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$194277 coins$3,7155,307 coins19.19x7d

★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$194277 coins$2,7033,861 coins13.96x1h

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

★ Stiletto Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert knife$194277 coins$8611,230 coins4.45x1h

★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Factory New)knife · covert$194277 coins$2,7033,861 coins13.96x1h

Galil AR | Shattered (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare$194277 coins$8.5012.14 coins0.04x1h

P90 | Glacier Mesh (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$194277 coins$25.9137.01 coins0.13x1h

AK-47 | Inheritance (Factory New)weapon · covert$194277 coins$198282 coins1.02x1h

AK-47 | Leet Museo (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$194277 coins$45.5665.08 coins0.24x1h

Galil AR | Shattered (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare$194277 coins$8.5012.14 coins0.04x1h

MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Factory New)weapon · restrictedbradbeloved$194277 coins$70.63101 coins0.36x1h

Galil AR | Shattered (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare$194277 coins$8.5012.14 coins0.04x3h

P2000 | Chainmail (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$194277 coins$133190 coins0.69x3h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $10.4K (53.53x)