Agents
A case on Skin.club (Our Special), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.
Price
$7.22
Advertised RTP
92.49%
EV $6.68 from 50 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.26%
14.2K openings, odds method
Variance
0.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
41.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
76.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values50 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14.3K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
skinclub:apiv2/cases/agent_case, 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.49%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $7.22 | 92.49% | 50 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $7.24 | 92.45% | 50 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $7.30 | 92.46% | 50 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $7.28 | 92.45% | 50 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $7.25 | 92.50% | 50 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $7.29 | 92.51% | 50 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $7.31 | 92.55% | 50 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $7.27 | 92.50% | 50 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $7.29 | 92.54% | 50 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $7.48 | 92.55% | 50 |
| 9 Nov, 02:03 UTC | $7.51 | 92.56% | 50 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $7.52 | 92.44% | 50 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $7.51 | 92.56% | 50 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $7.51 | 92.55% | 50 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $7.47 | 92.46% | 50 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $7.51 | 92.51% | 50 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $7.48 | 92.52% | 50 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $7.52 | 92.56% | 50 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $7.52 | 92.45% | 50 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $7.53 | 92.48% | 50 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $7.49 | 92.55% | 50 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $7.52 | 92.52% | 50 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $7.49 | 92.49% | 50 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $7.48 | 92.46% | 50 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $7.50 | 92.47% | 50 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $7.47 | 92.54% | 50 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $7.41 | 92.56% | 50 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $7.41 | 92.50% | 50 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $7.41 | 92.54% | 50 |
| 4 Nov, 22:34 UTC | $7.44 | 92.46% | 50 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedmaster 0.9%distinguished 0.8%exceptional 0.9%superior 28.2%red 0.7%violet 35.4%Master 0.1%pink 19.6%blue 13.4%best hit —