AK-47 Battle
A case on Skin.club (Battle cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.
Price
$2.50
Advertised RTP
92.50%
EV $2.31 from 24 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.00%
186K openings, odds method
Variance
1.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
24.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 187K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
skinclub:apiv2/cases/ak47_battle, 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $2.50 | 92.50% | 24 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $4.06 | 92.57% | 24 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $4.06 | 92.41% | 24 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $4.06 | 92.51% | 24 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $4.06 | 92.53% | 24 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $4.07 | 92.40% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $4.06 | 92.48% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $4.06 | 92.58% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $4.15 | 92.54% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $4.17 | 92.60% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $4.16 | 92.56% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $4.17 | 92.60% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $4.19 | 92.50% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $4.18 | 92.50% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $4.18 | 92.52% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $4.17 | 92.48% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $4.17 | 92.54% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $4.15 | 92.57% | 24 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $4.15 | 92.56% | 24 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $4.15 | 92.48% | 24 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $4.16 | 92.46% | 24 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $4.14 | 92.57% | 24 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $4.14 | 92.59% | 24 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $4.13 | 92.56% | 24 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $4.11 | 92.55% | 24 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $4.12 | 92.43% | 24 |
| 4 Nov, 22:34 UTC | $4.11 | 92.53% | 24 |
| 4 Nov, 16:30 UTC | $4.10 | 92.60% | 24 |
| 4 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $4.11 | 92.48% | 24 |
| 4 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $4.13 | 92.47% | 24 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.2%red 0.0%Ancient 0.2%classified 0.1%Mythical 15.8%restricted 3.5%Legendary 0.9%violet 5.6%Uncommon 5.6%Rare 53.9%mil spec 14.2%best hit —