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Butterfly Knives

A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

Price
$111.77
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
94.50%
4,549 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
903 openings · below min
7 days
97.14%±5.333,237 openings
30 days
94.50%±4.254,549 openings
since tracking started
94.50%±4.254,549 openings
81.5%92.3%103.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h90391.61%±9.26—sample
7d3,23797.14%±5.33—sample
30d4,54994.50%±4.25—sample
All4,54994.50%±4.25—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogSkin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1)knife · Immortal · Phase 1$107$2,33721.91x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · Immortal · Phase 2$111$2,19719.87x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · Immortal · Phase 3$106$2,11720.00x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1)knife · Immortal · Phase 1$111$1,92817.30x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1)knife · Immortal · Phase 1$108$1,76716.42x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · Immortal · Phase 4$110$1,73615.80x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · gold$110$1,72615.64x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · Immortal · Phase 3Y_U_H8_ME:)$107$1,69615.88x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · Immortal · Phase 4$107$1,60915.10x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · goldNate$107$1,60815.07x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)knife · gold$106$5495.20x
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertectasyy$106$54.680.52x
★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert$106$5485.19x
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$106$56.210.53x
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$106$56.360.53x
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$106$56.360.53x
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$106$54.820.52x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covertSpooderman$106$68.190.64x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$106$68.190.64x
★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · gold$106$4394.15x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,337 (21.91x)