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RAVEN BUTTERFLY 010101010

A case on Skin.club, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

Price
$431.58
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
66.41%
147 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
147 openings · below min
30 days
147 openings · below min
since tracking started
147 openings · below min
32.5%66.3%100.0%

Small sample. 147 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d14766.41%±33.1—sample
30d14766.41%±33.1—sample
All14766.41%±33.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogSkin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · Immortal · EmeraldDaggarCS twitch live$432$7,11016.47x
★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · knifes$432$5,50512.76x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · Immortal · Phase 2$432$2,1514.98x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · Immortal · Phase 2$432$2,1514.98x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1)knife · Immortal · Phase 1DaggarCS twitch live$432$1,7384.03x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · Immortal · Phase 3$432$1,6993.94x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · Immortal · Phase 3$432$1,6993.94x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · Immortal · Phase 3$432$1,6993.94x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · Immortal · Phase 3$432$1,6993.94x
★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covertDaggarCS twitch live$432$1,4253.30x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Sealed Graffiti | FACEIT | London 2018graffiti · high$432$4.960.01x
Sealed Graffiti | FACEIT | London 2018graffiti · high$432$4.960.01x
Sealed Graffiti | FACEIT | London 2018graffiti · highDaggarCS twitch live$432$4.960.01x
Sealed Graffiti | FACEIT | London 2018graffiti · high$432$4.960.01x
Sealed Graffiti | FACEIT | London 2018graffiti · high$432$4.960.01x
Sealed Graffiti | FACEIT | London 2018graffiti · highDaggarCS twitch live$432$4.960.01x
Sealed Graffiti | FACEIT | London 2018graffiti · high$432$4.960.01x
Sealed Graffiti | FACEIT | London 2018graffiti · high$432$4.960.01x
★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covertDaggarCS twitch live$432$1,3073.03x
Sealed Graffiti | FACEIT | London 2018graffiti · high$432$4.960.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $7,110 (16.47x)