Crazy awp

A case on Skin.club, first seen 12 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

Price
$2.42
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
98.13%
292 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
292 openings · below min
7 days
292 openings · below min
30 days
292 openings · below min
since tracking started
292 openings · below min
-0.5%132.8%266.0%

Small sample. 292 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h29298.13%±167.5—sample
7d29298.13%±167.5—sample
30d29298.13%±167.5—sample
All29298.13%±167.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogSkin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Angry Tsticker · Rare$2.42$0.050.02x
Sticker | Angry Tsticker · Rare$2.42$0.050.02x
Sticker | Angry Tsticker · Rare$2.42$0.050.02x
Sticker | Angry Tsticker · Rare$2.42$0.050.02x
Sticker | Angry Tsticker · Rare$2.42$0.050.02x
Sticker | Angry Tsticker · Rare$2.42$0.050.02x
Sticker | Angry Tsticker · Rare$2.42$0.050.02x
Sticker | Angry Tsticker · Rare$2.42$0.050.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $602 (248.6x)