50% neilans
A case on Skin.club, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.
Price
$1,718.07
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
53.64%
28 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 28 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogSkin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl$1,688$8,2194.87x
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl$1,688$1,9441.15x
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black PearlNEILANS$1,688$1,9441.15x
★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl$1,718$1,0950.64x
★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl$1,718$1,0950.64x
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl$1,688$7640.45x
★ Paracord Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl$1,688$7210.43x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl$1,688$8,2194.87x
★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl$1,688$4430.26x
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl$1,688$1,9441.15x
★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black PearlNEILANS$1,688$4430.26x
★ Paracord Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl$1,688$7210.43x
★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl$1,688$4430.26x
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl$1,688$7640.45x
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black PearlNEILANS$1,688$1,9441.15x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $8,219 (4.87x)