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Why not

A case on Skin.club, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

Price
$1,295.60
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
165.63%
49 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
49 openings · below min
7 days
49 openings · below min
30 days
49 openings · below min
since tracking started
49 openings · below min
74.0%165.5%257.0%

Small sample. 49 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h49165.63%±90.8—sample
7d49165.63%±90.8—sample
30d49165.63%±90.8—sample
All49165.63%±90.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogSkin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · Immortal · Ruby$1,295$10.6K8.22x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · Immortal · Ruby➳𝘽𝙖𝙙.𝘽𝙤𝙮ツ$1,295$10.6K8.22x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · Immortal · Ruby➳𝘽𝙖𝙙.𝘽𝙤𝙮ツ$1,296$10.6K8.22x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · Immortal · Ruby➳𝘽𝙖𝙙.𝘽𝙤𝙮ツ$1,296$10.6K8.22x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · Immortal · Ruby➳𝘽𝙖𝙙.𝘽𝙤𝙮ツ$1,296$10.6K8.22x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · Immortal · Ruby$1,296$10.6K8.22x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · Immortal · Ruby➳𝘽𝙖𝙙.𝘽𝙤𝙮ツ$1,296$10.6K8.22x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · Immortal · Ruby➳𝘽𝙖𝙙.𝘽𝙤𝙮ツ$1,296$10.6K8.22x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · Immortal · Ruby$1,296$10.6K8.22x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · Immortal · Emerald$1,296$7,1925.55x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · Immortal · Ruby$1,295$10.6K8.22x
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$1,295$43.080.03x
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert➳𝘽𝙖𝙙.𝘽𝙤𝙮ツ$1,295$43.080.03x
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$1,295$43.140.03x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · Immortal · Ruby➳𝘽𝙖𝙙.𝘽𝙤𝙮ツ$1,295$10.6K8.22x
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$1,295$43.140.03x
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$1,295$43.140.03x
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$1,296$43.140.03x
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$1,296$43.140.03x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · Immortal · Ruby➳𝘽𝙖𝙙.𝘽𝙤𝙮ツ$1,296$10.6K8.22x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $10.6K (8.22x)