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Captain Luck 2k

A case on Skin.club, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

Price
$0.45
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
2.42%
687 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
351 openings · below min
7 days
665 openings · below min
30 days
687 openings · below min
since tracking started
687 openings · below min
2.0%2.5%3.0%

Small sample. 687 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h3512.55%±0.00—sample
7d6652.44%±0.01—sample
30d6872.42%±0.01—sample
All6872.42%±0.01—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogSkin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
UMP-45 | Green Swirl (Minimal Wear)weapon · #b0c3d9$0.39$0.010.03x
UMP-45 | Green Swirl (Minimal Wear)weapon · #b0c3d9KebabRulle$0.39$0.010.03x
UMP-45 | Green Swirl (Minimal Wear)weapon · #b0c3d9$0.39$0.010.03x
UMP-45 | Green Swirl (Minimal Wear)weapon · #b0c3d9KebabRulle$0.39$0.010.03x
UMP-45 | Green Swirl (Minimal Wear)weapon · #b0c3d9$0.39$0.010.03x
UMP-45 | Green Swirl (Minimal Wear)weapon · #b0c3d9KebabRulle$0.39$0.010.03x
UMP-45 | Green Swirl (Minimal Wear)weapon · #b0c3d9$0.39$0.010.03x
UMP-45 | Green Swirl (Minimal Wear)weapon · #b0c3d9KebabRulle$0.39$0.010.03x
UMP-45 | Green Swirl (Minimal Wear)weapon · #b0c3d9$0.39$0.010.03x
UMP-45 | Green Swirl (Minimal Wear)weapon · #b0c3d9KebabRulle$0.39$0.010.03x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —