🧨 Red Phantom

A case on Skin.club, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

Price
$4.07
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
80.56%
474 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
8 openings · below min
7 days
274 openings · below min
30 days
474 openings · below min
since tracking started
474 openings · below min
1.5%53.0%104.5%

Small sample. 474 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h85.24%±3.33—sample
7d27475.45%±28.4—sample
30d47480.56%±19.6—sample
All47480.56%±19.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogSkin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —