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Skelly 5%

A case on Skin.club, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

Price
$49.54
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
68.68%
290 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
290 openings · below min
30 days
290 openings · below min
since tracking started
290 openings · below min
23.5%68.8%114.0%

Small sample. 290 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d29068.68%±44.5—sample
30d29068.68%±44.5—sample
All29068.68%±44.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogSkin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · Immortal · Ruby$49.54$2,59952.47x
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · Sapphire$49.54$1,33827.01x
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · Sapphire$62.84$1,22719.52x
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · Immortal · Phase 2$49.58$76315.40x
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · Immortal · Phase 2💜 LOVE SKINS 💜$49.58$76315.40x
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · Immortal · Phase 4💜 LOVE SKINS 💜$49.58$66613.43x
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · Immortal · Phase 4💜 LOVE SKINS 💜$49.54$66313.38x
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · Immortal · Phase 4$66.80$6599.87x
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · Immortal · Phase 3💜 LOVE SKINS 💜$49.58$60412.19x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Sticker | Peek-A-Boosticker · Rare$62.84$0.020.00x
Sticker | Peek-A-Boosticker · Rare$62.84$0.020.00x
Sticker | Peek-A-Boosticker · Rare$62.84$0.020.00x
Sticker | Peek-A-Boosticker · RareEeLord$62.84$0.020.00x
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · Sapphire$62.84$1,22719.52x
Sticker | Peek-A-Boosticker · Rare$62.84$0.020.00x
Sticker | Peek-A-Boosticker · Rare$62.84$0.020.00x
Sticker | Peek-A-Boosticker · RareEeLord$62.84$0.020.00x
Sticker | Peek-A-Boosticker · Rare$62.84$0.020.00x
Sticker | Peek-A-Boosticker · Rare$62.84$0.020.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,599 (52.47x)