1.1 last case magic f0rz4

A case on Skin.club, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

Price
$3.77
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
136.55%
507 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
228 openings · below min
7 days
389 openings · below min
30 days
507 openings · below min
since tracking started
507 openings · below min
23.0%190.3%357.5%

Small sample. 507 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h228190.27%±166.5—sample
7d389155.05%±115.1—sample
30d507136.55%±94.7—sample
All507136.55%±94.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogSkin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $370 (101.8x)