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green dream

A case on Skin.club, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

Price
$53.48
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
107.27%
782 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
27 openings · below min
7 days
437 openings · below min
30 days
782 openings · below min
since tracking started
782 openings · below min
-0.5%69.5%139.5%

Small sample. 782 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h270.02%±0.00—sample
7d437100.22%±38.5—sample
30d782107.27%±30.5—sample
All782107.27%±30.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogSkin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · Immortal · Emerald$53.33$1,94336.43x
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · Immortal · Emerald$53.40$1,94236.37x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 4)StatTrak · knife · Immortal · Phase 4$54.13$1,90635.22x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1)StatTrak · knife · Immortal · Phase 1$53.15$1,77633.41x
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · Immortal · Phase 3$53.33$1,68931.67x
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · Immortal · Phase 3Ricko$53.42$1,68931.61x
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · Immortal · Phase 3$53.48$1,67031.22x
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · Immortal · Phase 3Ricko$53.15$1,61630.41x
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · Immortal · Phase 3$54.13$1,57629.12x
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · Immortal · Phase 3$54.13$1,57629.12x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Sawed-Off | Runoff (Minimal Wear)weapon · Common$54.31$0.010.00x
Sawed-Off | Runoff (Minimal Wear)weapon · Common$54.31$0.010.00x
Sawed-Off | Runoff (Minimal Wear)weapon · CommonRicko$54.31$0.010.00x
Sawed-Off | Runoff (Minimal Wear)weapon · Common$54.31$0.010.00x
Sawed-Off | Runoff (Minimal Wear)weapon · Common$54.31$0.010.00x
Sawed-Off | Runoff (Minimal Wear)weapon · CommonRicko$54.31$0.010.00x
Sawed-Off | Runoff (Minimal Wear)weapon · Common$54.31$0.010.00x
Sawed-Off | Runoff (Minimal Wear)weapon · Common$54.31$0.010.00x
Sawed-Off | Runoff (Minimal Wear)weapon · CommonRicko$54.31$0.010.00x
Sawed-Off | Runoff (Minimal Wear)weapon · Common$54.31$0.010.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,943 (36.43x)