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RiveraSaphire

A case on Skin.club, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

Price
$162.23
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
110.06%
144 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
43 openings · below min
7 days
144 openings · below min
30 days
144 openings · below min
since tracking started
144 openings · below min
43.0%178.8%314.5%

Small sample. 144 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h43178.76%±135.3—sample
7d144110.06%±56.8—sample
30d144110.06%±56.8—sample
All144110.06%±56.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogSkin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · Sapphire$157$4,53128.78x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · Sapphiretwitch/riveramdzzz$162$4,49527.70x
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · Sapphire$157$1,0226.49x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · Sapphire$165$7064.27x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · Sapphire$165$7064.27x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · Sapphire$163$7004.29x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · Sapphiretwitch/riveramdzzz$157$6894.38x
★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Covert · Sapphire$165$5223.16x
★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Covert · Sapphire$165$5223.16x
★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Covert · Sapphire$165$5223.16x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$157$0.410.00x
Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$157$0.410.00x
Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$157$0.410.00x
Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ffMarCelOo-$157$0.410.00x
Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$157$0.400.00x
★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Covert · Sapphire$157$4923.13x
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · Sapphiretwitch/riveramdzzz$157$4743.01x
★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Covert · Sapphire$157$4923.13x
Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff$157$0.400.00x
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · Sapphiretwitch/riveramdzzz$157$4923.13x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $4,531 (28.78x)