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A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

Price

$102.63

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

88.35%

2,113 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

230 openings · below min

7 days

89.19%±5.591,948 openings

30 days

88.35%±5.282,113 openings

since tracking started

88.35%±5.282,113 openings

72.5%95.2%118.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	230	95.34%±22.0	—	sample
7d	1,948	89.19%±5.59	—	sample
30d	2,113	88.35%±5.28	—	sample
All	2,113	88.35%±5.28	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogSkin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · Immortal · Rubytiby_23$99.02$2,19322.15x13h

★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · Immortal · RubySr. Resólver$99.57$1,73917.47x5d

★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black PearlyTig's Therapist$99.37$1,23912.47x6d

★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl$100$1,08710.85x5d

★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black PearlY_U_H8_ME:)$99.36$1,07510.82x6d

★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl$101$1,07510.64x1d

★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl櫻小路露娜的狗$100$1,06610.64x2d

★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · Immortal · RubyHeavens$100$7967.95x5d

★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · Immortal · RubyK4me$100$7827.80x5d

★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · Immortal · Ruby櫻小路露娜的狗$100$7557.53x2d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Sealed Graffiti | X-Knives (Princess Pink)graffiti · Commonroxx$98.45$0.020.00x39m

Sealed Graffiti | X-Knives (Princess Pink)graffiti · Common$98.45$0.020.00x39m

Sealed Graffiti | X-Knives (Princess Pink)graffiti · Common$98.45$0.020.00x53m

★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · Immortal · Phase 2$98.45$1331.36x53m

Sealed Graffiti | X-Knives (Princess Pink)graffiti · Common$98.45$0.020.00x53m

Sealed Graffiti | X-Knives (Princess Pink)graffiti · CommonNoble Blaze$98.45$0.020.00x53m

★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · Immortal · Phase 2Saitama$98.45$1331.36x2h

Sealed Graffiti | X-Knives (Princess Pink)graffiti · Common$98.45$0.020.00x2h

★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · Immortal · Phase 2$98.81$1331.35x5h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,193 (22.15x)