Community Stickers

A case on Skin.club (Sticker Capsules), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

Price

$0.35

Advertised RTP

92.29%

EV $0.32 from 24 items

Observed RTP, 30d

91.59%

60.3K openings, odds method

Variance

3.5×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 13

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

77.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

94.25%±4.636,024 openings

7 days

92.56%±1.7243.2K openings

30 days

91.59%±1.4560.3K openings

since tracking started

91.59%±1.4560.3K openings

89.0%94.3%99.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	6,024	94.25%±4.63	+1.0σ	odds
7d	43.2K	92.56%±1.72	+0.5σ	odds
30d	60.3K	91.59%±1.45	−0.6σ	odds
All	60.3K	91.59%±1.45	−0.6σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 60.3K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Sticker \| Digi-Strike (Lenticular)sticker · Ancient	1 in 250	$3.97	4.9%	281	241.1	1.17×
Sticker \| Good As New (Foil)sticker · Legendary	1 in 167	$3.71	6.9%	288	361.7	0.80×
Sticker \| Neon MVP (Lenticular)sticker · Ancient	1 in 167	$3.70	6.9%	316	361.7	0.87×
Sticker \| BullHit (Lenticular)sticker · Ancient	1 in 167	$3.64	6.8%	222	361.7	0.61×
Sticker \| Chrome Dome (Holo)sticker · violet	1 in 71	$2.24	9.7%	598	843.9	0.71×
Sticker \| Hands Off (Foil)sticker · Legendary	1 in 50	$1.71	10.6%	1,234	1205.6	1.02×
Sticker \| Eyes In The Sky (Foil)sticker · Legendary	1 in 50	$1.46	9.0%	1,200	1205.6	1.00×
Sticker \| Queen Ava (Foil)sticker · Legendary	1 in 50	$0.73	4.5%	1,552	1205.6	1.29×
Sticker \| Ain't A Rental (Foil)sticker · Legendary	1 in 45	$0.58	4.0%	1,348	1326.2	1.02×
Sticker \| King Crasswater (Foil)sticker · Legendary	1 in 45	$0.57	3.9%	1,390	1326.2	1.05×
Sticker \| Cutie (Holo)sticker · Mythical	1 in 33	$0.56	5.2%	1,396	1808.5	0.77×
Sticker \| Froggles (Holo)sticker · violet	1 in 33	$0.43	4.0%	1,916	1808.5	1.06×
Sticker \| Evidence (Holo)sticker · Mythical	1 in 33	$0.37	3.4%	1,835	1808.5	1.01×
Sticker \| CT Tracks (Glitter)sticker · Mythical	1 in 25	$0.27	3.3%	2,987	2411.3	1.24×
Sticker \| Bomb Planted (Holo)sticker · Mythical	1 in 20	$0.19	2.9%	4,578	3014.1	1.52×
Sticker \| T Tracks (Glitter)sticker · #8847ff	1 in 20	$0.17	2.6%	3,688	3014.1	1.22×
Sticker \| Sent With Lovesticker · Rare	1 in 20	$0.13	2.0%	3,837	3014.1	1.27×
Sticker \| POTSsticker · Rare	11.0%	$0.09	3.1%	6,069	6631.0	0.92×
Sticker \| Vice Cursorsticker · Rare	1 in 17	$0.09	1.7%	4,477	3616.9	1.24×
Sticker \| Overloaded (Glitter)sticker · Mythical	1 in 20	$0.08	1.2%	3,712	3014.1	1.23×
Sticker \| Gloves Onsticker · Rare	1 in 17	$0.05	0.9%	5,203	3616.9	1.44×
Sticker \| Cubix Connexionsticker · Rare	10.0%	$0.03	0.9%	3,796	6028.2	0.63×
Sticker \| Skelly Stabbysticker · Rare	1 in 13	$0.03	0.7%	3,839	4762.3	0.81×
Sticker \| Fade Mangossticker · Rare	12.1%	$0.02	0.7%	4,520	7294.1	0.62×

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from skinclub:apiv2/cases/community-stickers, 12 Nov, 08:56 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Sticker | Eyes In The Sky (Foil)sticker · Legendary2$0.35$1.454.14x1m

Sticker | Chrome Dome (Holo)sticker · violet2$0.35$2.236.37x1m

Sticker | Vice Cursorsticker · Rare$0.35$0.090.26x2m

Sticker | Overloaded (Glitter)sticker · Mythical$0.35$0.070.20x2m

Sticker | CT Tracks (Glitter)sticker · Mythical2$0.35$0.280.80x2m

Sticker | Fade Mangossticker · Rare$0.35$0.020.06x2m

Sticker | Bomb Planted (Holo)sticker · Mythical$0.35$0.180.51x2m

Sticker | T Tracks (Glitter)sticker · #8847ff2$0.35$0.140.40x2m

Sticker | Gloves Onsticker · Rare$0.35$0.050.14x3m

Sticker | Skelly Stabbysticker · Rare$0.35$0.030.09x3m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.29%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
12 Nov, 08:56 UTC	$0.35	92.29%	24
12 Nov, 02:51 UTC	$0.36	91.44%	24
11 Nov, 20:47 UTC	$0.36	91.87%	24
11 Nov, 14:43 UTC	$0.35	93.09%	24
11 Nov, 08:39 UTC	$0.35	92.73%	24
11 Nov, 02:35 UTC	$0.35	93.22%	24
10 Nov, 20:31 UTC	$0.35	92.37%	24
10 Nov, 14:27 UTC	$0.35	92.22%	24
10 Nov, 08:23 UTC	$0.35	92.62%	24
10 Nov, 02:19 UTC	$0.35	92.59%	24
9 Nov, 20:15 UTC	$0.33	91.24%	24
9 Nov, 14:11 UTC	$0.33	91.35%	24
9 Nov, 08:07 UTC	$0.35	92.62%	24
9 Nov, 02:03 UTC	$0.35	91.82%	24
9 Nov, 01:54 UTC	$0.35	91.41%	24
9 Nov, 00:04 UTC	$0.35	91.83%	24
8 Nov, 23:40 UTC	$0.35	91.67%	24
8 Nov, 17:36 UTC	$0.35	91.85%	24
8 Nov, 11:31 UTC	$0.35	91.74%	24
8 Nov, 05:27 UTC	$0.35	92.83%	24
7 Nov, 23:23 UTC	$0.35	92.27%	24
7 Nov, 17:19 UTC	$0.35	91.59%	24
7 Nov, 11:15 UTC	$0.35	91.63%	24
7 Nov, 05:10 UTC	$0.35	91.68%	24
6 Nov, 23:06 UTC	$0.35	91.49%	24
6 Nov, 17:02 UTC	$0.36	91.62%	24
6 Nov, 10:58 UTC	$0.36	91.50%	24
6 Nov, 04:54 UTC	$0.36	91.61%	24
5 Nov, 22:50 UTC	$0.35	91.69%	24
5 Nov, 16:46 UTC	$0.36	91.85%	24

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedAncient 1.6%Legendary 11.0%violet 4.4%Mythical 20.0%#8847ff 5.0%Rare 58.0%best hit —