Covert Battle
A case on Skin.club (Battle cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.
Price
$41.35
Advertised RTP
92.51%
EV $38.25 from 25 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.75%
29.6K openings, odds method
Variance
0.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
53.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 29.6K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
skinclub:apiv2/cases/covert_battle, 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.51%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC | $41.35 | 92.51% | 25 |
| 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $41.17 | 92.51% | 25 |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $41.11 | 92.50% | 25 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $41.18 | 92.50% | 25 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $41.21 | 92.50% | 25 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $41.12 | 92.49% | 25 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $41.08 | 92.50% | 25 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $41.27 | 92.49% | 25 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $41.31 | 92.50% | 25 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $41.09 | 92.50% | 25 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $41.28 | 92.51% | 25 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $42.01 | 92.49% | 25 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 32.2%Ancient 66.8%red 1.0%best hit —