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Dangerous Chicken

A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

Price
$12.37
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
88.81%
14.1K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
104.03%±23.491,568 openings
7 days
86.43%±7.8610.2K openings
30 days
88.81%±6.9314.1K openings
since tracking started
88.81%±6.9314.1K openings
78.0%103.0%128.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,568104.03%±23.5—sample
7d10.2K86.43%±7.86—sample
30d14.1K88.81%±6.93—sample
All14.1K88.81%±6.93—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogSkin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearlcrazyweap0n$12.57$1,348107.3x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl$12.33$1,344109.0x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl$12.21$1,341109.8x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl$12.32$1,339108.7x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl$12.93$1,317101.8x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl$12.84$1,297101.0x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black PearlBubz$12.77$1,24497.41x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl$12.50$1,12389.85x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl$12.76$1,10586.62x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl$12.88$1,08584.22x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare$12.93$0.130.01x
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare$12.93$0.130.01x
Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedFeral Rebel$12.93$1.010.08x
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare$12.93$0.130.01x
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare$12.93$0.130.01x
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested)weapon · RareFeral Rebel$12.93$0.130.01x
Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$12.93$1.010.08x
USP-S | Orion (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedFeral Rebel$12.93$47.613.68x
Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$12.93$1.010.08x
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare$12.93$0.130.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,348 (107.3x)