Dead Hand
A case on Skin.club (Our Special), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.
Price
$5.50
Advertised RTP
92.48%
EV $5.09 from 38 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.45%
20.9K openings, odds method
Variance
8.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 12
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
73.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values38 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 21K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
skinclub:apiv2/cases/dead-hand, 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.48%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $5.50 | 92.48% | 38 |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $5.49 | 92.48% | 38 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $5.48 | 92.56% | 38 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $5.50 | 92.54% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $5.51 | 92.55% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $5.49 | 92.58% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $5.50 | 92.57% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $5.52 | 92.48% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $5.50 | 92.48% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $5.53 | 92.46% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $5.52 | 92.55% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $5.53 | 92.52% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $5.53 | 92.52% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $5.53 | 92.45% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $5.53 | 92.48% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $5.55 | 92.54% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $5.55 | 92.48% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $5.54 | 92.43% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $5.53 | 92.48% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $5.54 | 92.43% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $5.53 | 92.54% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $5.52 | 92.48% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $5.51 | 92.44% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $5.53 | 92.43% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $5.51 | 92.54% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $5.50 | 92.56% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $5.50 | 92.52% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $5.52 | 92.55% | 38 |
| 4 Nov, 22:34 UTC | $5.51 | 92.54% | 38 |
| 4 Nov, 16:30 UTC | $5.51 | 92.48% | 38 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.0%Immortal 0.4%rare 0.3%Ancient 0.1%epic 0.3%red 0.2%pink 11.0%Legendary 8.0%Mythical 31.0%#8847ff 23.7%violet 12.0%Rare 13.0%best hit $620 (112.5x)