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Big wins
Sugar Rush Super Scatter$1,9281.29xCase Battles$1,0442.24xSpeed Baccarat A$2,0002.00xCase Battles$1,3681.88xVIP Blackjack 8$8,8032.50xBlackjack Lobby$1,2001.20xKeno$1,0983.50xSweet Rush Bonanza$2,4852.49xBlackjack$7,5001.88xSugar Rush 1000$204306.9xSweet Rush Bonanza$6,77312.10xClassic Dice$1,3091.31xDynasty Speed Baccarat 8$6,5742.00xSlayers Inc$4,0909.20xBlackjack$6,0001.50xKeno$1,0983.50xKeno$1,6501.10xSpeed Baccarat T$2,6002.00xTwister Fortunes Hold & Win$80.47134.1xMerge Up 2$36.94123.1xSeamen: Double Trouble$24K20.00xSweet Rush Bonanza$11.4K20.31xStake Baccarat 1$2,9251.95xKeno$1,0983.50x

Pick’em Diamond Tier

A case on Skin.club, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

Price
$15.01
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
96.90%
31.9K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
95.64%±20.732,494 openings
7 days
96.36%±9.6924.8K openings
30 days
96.90%±8.8331.9K openings
since tracking started
96.90%±8.8331.9K openings
74.5%95.8%117.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2,49495.64%±20.7—sample
7d24.8K96.36%±9.69—sample
30d31.9K96.90%±8.83—sample
All31.9K96.90%±8.83—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogSkin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · Sapphire2cwy7$14.97$7,171479.0x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · Sapphire$15.00$7,141476.1x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · Sapphire$14.91$7,096475.9x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · SapphireUNKNOWN OREO$14.96$6,917462.4x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · Sapphireh1p$15.12$6,859453.6x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · Sapphire⎛° ͜ʖ°⎞$14.96$6,597441.0x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · Sapphire$15.02$6,593438.9x
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · Sapphirekrumpli$15.19$1,867122.9x
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · SapphireDrFaruq$15.20$1,867122.8x
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · SapphireEzimuschi Clan ツ$14.70$1,844125.5x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
M4A4 | Tornado (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$14.71$18.641.27x
Desert Eagle | Tilted (Factory New)weapon · blueLight$14.71$1.270.09x
Desert Eagle | Tilted (Factory New)weapon · blueLightBORZ$14.71$1.270.09x
MAC-10 | Snow Splash (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon$14.71$0.130.01x
SCAR-20 | Storm (Minimal Wear)weapon · Common$14.71$2.950.20x
SCAR-20 | Storm (Minimal Wear)weapon · CommonBORZ$14.71$2.950.20x
Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Factory New)weapon · violet$14.71$5.110.35x
SCAR-20 | Storm (Minimal Wear)weapon · Common$14.71$2.950.20x
Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Factory New)weapon · violetBORZ$14.71$5.110.35x
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec$14.71$0.170.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $7,171 (479.0x)