Farm Knives
A case on Skin.club (Farm cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.
Price
$1.32
Advertised RTP
92.39%
EV $1.22 from 13 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.41%
262K openings, odds method
Variance
86.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 244
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 262K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
skinclub:apiv2/cases/easy_knife, 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.39%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $1.32 | 92.39% | 13 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $1.32 | 92.46% | 13 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $1.32 | 92.41% | 13 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $1.33 | 92.27% | 13 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $1.31 | 92.79% | 13 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $1.33 | 92.55% | 13 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $1.34 | 92.19% | 13 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $1.33 | 92.55% | 13 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $1.33 | 92.76% | 13 |
| 9 Nov, 02:03 UTC | $1.35 | 92.40% | 13 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $1.35 | 92.48% | 13 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $1.35 | 92.51% | 13 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $1.35 | 92.47% | 13 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $1.35 | 92.30% | 13 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $1.36 | 92.64% | 13 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $1.34 | 92.58% | 13 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $1.35 | 92.31% | 13 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $1.34 | 92.68% | 13 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $1.34 | 92.65% | 13 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $1.34 | 92.79% | 13 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $1.35 | 92.30% | 13 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $1.34 | 92.83% | 13 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $1.35 | 92.67% | 13 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $1.34 | 92.71% | 13 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $1.34 | 92.73% | 13 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $1.34 | 92.82% | 13 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $1.35 | 92.19% | 13 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $1.35 | 92.40% | 13 |
| 4 Nov, 22:34 UTC | $1.35 | 92.28% | 13 |
| 4 Nov, 16:30 UTC | $1.34 | 92.47% | 13 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.0%covert 0.8%epic 0.0%Immortal 0.1%Rare 99.1%best hit $313 (228.7x)