Farm Dead Hand
A case on Skin.club (Our Special), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.
Price
$0.39
Advertised RTP
91.38%
EV $0.36 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.23%
197K openings, odds method
Variance
273.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 556
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 197K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Field-Tested)gloves · legendary | 1 in 20,000 | $463 | 6.5% | 9 | 9.9 | 0.91× |
| ★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane (Minimal Wear)gloves · Immortal | 1 in 14,286 | $425 | 8.4% | 13 | 13.8 | 0.94× |
| AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New)weapon · Ancient | 1 in 9,091 | $211 | 6.5% | 23 | 21.7 | 1.06× |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Blaze (Field-Tested)gloves · Immortal | 1 in 5,882 | $121 | 5.7% | 29 | 33.5 | 0.86× |
| Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare | 1 in 5,000 | $102 | 5.7% | 58 | 39.5 | 1.47× |
| AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient | 1 in 3,333 | $98.91 | 8.3% | 45 | 59.2 | 0.76× |
| Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Well-Worn)weapon · red | 1 in 3,333 | $52.15 | 4.4% | 247 | 59.2 | 4.17× |
| AWP | Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested)weapon · rare | 1 in 1,667 | $52.07 | 8.8% | 116 | 118.4 | 0.98× |
| AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New)weapon · Legendary | 1 in 667 | $48.71 | 20.5% | 76 | 295.9 | 0.26× |
| Sealed Graffiti | Sorry (Monarch Blue)graffiti · Common | 99.7% | $0.09 | 25.2% | 196,664 | 196629.0 | 1.00× |
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
skinclub:apiv2/cases/farm-deadhand, 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 91.38%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $0.39 | 91.38% | 10 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $0.39 | 91.76% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $0.39 | 91.37% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $0.39 | 91.54% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $0.39 | 92.01% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $0.39 | 92.12% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $0.39 | 92.04% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $0.39 | 92.15% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $0.40 | 91.63% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $0.40 | 91.70% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $0.40 | 91.67% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $0.40 | 91.62% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $0.39 | 93.46% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $0.40 | 91.47% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $0.40 | 91.59% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $0.35 | 93.32% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $0.35 | 93.50% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $0.35 | 93.29% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $0.35 | 93.24% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $0.35 | 93.40% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $0.36 | 91.25% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.35 | 93.48% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $0.36 | 91.25% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $0.36 | 91.32% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $0.36 | 91.69% | 10 |
| 4 Nov, 22:34 UTC | $0.36 | 91.56% | 10 |
| 4 Nov, 16:30 UTC | $0.36 | 91.46% | 10 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $0.35 | 93.08% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.0%Immortal 0.0%Ancient 0.0%rare 0.1%red 0.0%Legendary 0.1%Common 99.7%best hit $480 (1,333x)