Price
$0.81
Advertised RTP
92.26%
EV $0.75 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.38%
217K openings, odds method
Variance
248.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 714
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 218K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers (Minimal Wear)gloves · Immortal | 1 in 20,000 | $374 | 2.5% | 9 | 10.9 | 0.83× |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst (Minimal Wear)gloves · Immortal | 1 in 6,667 | $331 | 6.6% | 35 | 32.6 | 1.07× |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 5,000 | $324 | 8.7% | 43 | 43.5 | 0.99× |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 4,000 | $316 | 10.6% | 63 | 54.4 | 1.16× |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 3,333 | $271 | 10.9% | 73 | 65.3 | 1.12× |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork (Field-Tested)gloves · Immortal | 1 in 2,222 | $217 | 13.0% | 81 | 97.9 | 0.83× |
| ★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Minimal Wear)gloves · Extraordinary | 1 in 1,250 | $187 | 20.1% | 177 | 174.1 | 1.02× |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 833 | $139 | 22.3% | 285 | 261.2 | 1.09× |
| Sticker | Gloves Onsticker · Rare | 99.7% | $0.04 | 5.3% | 216,877 | 216903.0 | 1.00× |
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
skinclub:apiv2/cases/farm-gloves, 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.26%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC | $0.81 | 92.26% | 9 |
| 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $0.81 | 92.30% | 9 |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $0.80 | 92.98% | 9 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $0.80 | 93.02% | 9 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $0.81 | 92.76% | 9 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $0.81 | 92.59% | 9 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $0.81 | 92.49% | 9 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $0.82 | 92.03% | 9 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $0.82 | 92.33% | 9 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $0.81 | 92.91% | 9 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $0.82 | 92.23% | 9 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $0.82 | 93.01% | 9 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $0.83 | 92.73% | 9 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $0.83 | 92.80% | 9 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $0.82 | 93.06% | 9 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $0.82 | 92.49% | 9 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $0.82 | 92.95% | 9 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $0.83 | 92.19% | 9 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $0.83 | 92.52% | 9 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $0.83 | 92.54% | 9 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $0.83 | 92.20% | 9 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $0.82 | 93.00% | 9 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $0.82 | 92.28% | 9 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $0.82 | 92.87% | 9 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.82 | 92.62% | 9 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $0.82 | 91.99% | 9 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $0.81 | 92.30% | 9 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $0.82 | 92.58% | 9 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $0.83 | 92.00% | 9 |
| 4 Nov, 22:34 UTC | $0.82 | 92.84% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedImmortal 0.1%extraordinary 0.2%Extraordinary 0.1%Rare 99.7%best hit $387 (472.2x)