Farm Pistols
A case on Skin.club (Farm cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.
Price
$0.51
Advertised RTP
91.90%
EV $0.47 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.56%
78.6K openings, odds method
Variance
84.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 250
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 78.7K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 10,000 | $106 | 2.3% | 44 | 7.9 | 5.59× |
| Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare | 1 in 2,500 | $103 | 8.8% | 14 | 31.5 | 0.44× |
| USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 1,667 | $101 | 12.9% | 31 | 47.2 | 0.66× |
| Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 1,250 | $70.29 | 12.0% | 46 | 62.9 | 0.73× |
| USP-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · red | 1 in 1,000 | $54.56 | 11.6% | 80 | 78.7 | 1.02× |
| Desert Eagle | Starcade (Field-Tested)weapon · rare | 1 in 909 | $33.11 | 7.8% | 80 | 86.5 | 0.92× |
| Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 1 in 833 | $32.40 | 8.3% | 92 | 94.4 | 0.97× |
| Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New)weapon · rare | 1 in 714 | $22.69 | 6.8% | 111 | 110.1 | 1.01× |
| Glock-18 | AXIA (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare | 1 in 714 | $21.23 | 6.3% | 107 | 110.1 | 0.97× |
| Charm | Stitch-Loadedcharm · Rare | 99.2% | $0.11 | 23.3% | 78,064 | 78039.6 | 1.00× |
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
skinclub:apiv2/cases/farm-pistols, 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 91.90%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $0.51 | 91.90% | 10 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $0.51 | 91.81% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $0.51 | 93.26% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $0.51 | 91.88% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $0.49 | 92.16% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $0.49 | 92.08% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $0.49 | 91.74% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $0.49 | 92.53% | 10 |
| 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.56 | 92.04% | 10 |
| 3 Nov, 15:55 UTC | $0.56 | 91.96% | 10 |
| 3 Nov, 09:32 UTC | $0.56 | 92.15% | 10 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $0.56 | 92.08% | 10 |
| 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | $0.56 | 92.17% | 10 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $0.57 | 92.48% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.1%rare 0.4%red 0.1%restricted 0.1%Rare 99.2%best hit $107 (190.8x)