Farm Zeus

A case on Skin.club (Farm cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

Price
$0.40
Advertised RTP
91.38%
EV $0.37 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.87%
69.3K openings, odds method
Variance
33.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 91
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.2%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
71.93%±15.215,540 openings
7 days
90.55%±4.9749.9K openings
30 days
91.87%±4.1969.3K openings
since tracking started
91.87%±4.1969.3K openings
56.0%76.3%96.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h5,54071.93%±15.2−2.6σodds
7d49.9K90.55%±4.97−0.6σodds
30d69.3K91.87%±4.19−0.2σodds
All69.3K91.87%±4.19−0.2σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 69.3K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Factory New)weapon · rare1 in 333$35.6329.2%154207.90.74×
Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff1 in 125$11.5025.2%502554.50.91×
Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New)weapon · Classified1 in 100$6.7118.4%790693.11.14×
Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 33$1.5412.6%2,0382079.40.98×
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 21$0.769.8%3,2553257.81.00×
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Uncommon43.0%$0.033.5%29,78229805.01.00×
Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · Common47.2%$0.011.3%32,79332716.21.00×
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from skinclub:apiv2/cases/farm-zeus, 12 Nov, 15:00 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 91.38%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
12 Nov, 15:00 UTC$0.4091.38%7
12 Nov, 08:56 UTC$0.4091.72%7
12 Nov, 02:51 UTC$0.4091.89%7
11 Nov, 20:47 UTC$0.4191.43%7
11 Nov, 14:43 UTC$0.4092.67%7
11 Nov, 08:39 UTC$0.4091.70%7
11 Nov, 02:35 UTC$0.4192.27%7
10 Nov, 20:31 UTC$0.4093.12%7
10 Nov, 14:27 UTC$0.4092.20%7
10 Nov, 08:23 UTC$0.4191.41%7
10 Nov, 02:19 UTC$0.3892.37%7
9 Nov, 20:15 UTC$0.3693.49%7
9 Nov, 14:11 UTC$0.3693.46%7
9 Nov, 08:07 UTC$0.3693.38%7
9 Nov, 01:54 UTC$0.3693.37%7
8 Nov, 23:40 UTC$0.3693.06%7
8 Nov, 17:36 UTC$0.3693.12%7
8 Nov, 11:31 UTC$0.3892.49%7
8 Nov, 05:27 UTC$0.3991.83%7
7 Nov, 23:23 UTC$0.3693.33%7
7 Nov, 17:19 UTC$0.3693.32%7
7 Nov, 11:15 UTC$0.3791.63%7
7 Nov, 05:10 UTC$0.3792.28%7
6 Nov, 23:06 UTC$0.3791.93%7
6 Nov, 17:02 UTC$0.3891.28%7
6 Nov, 10:58 UTC$0.3791.51%7
6 Nov, 04:54 UTC$0.3791.66%7
5 Nov, 22:50 UTC$0.3991.56%7
5 Nov, 16:46 UTC$0.3791.26%7
5 Nov, 10:42 UTC$0.3792.72%7
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedrare 0.3%#8847ff 0.8%Classified 1.0%Mythical 3.0%#4b69ff 4.7%Uncommon 43.0%Common 47.2%best hit $38.29 (103.5x)