Price
$0.40
Advertised RTP
91.38%
EV $0.37 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.87%
69.3K openings, odds method
Variance
33.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 91
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 69.3K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Factory New)weapon · rare | 1 in 333 | $35.63 | 29.2% | 154 | 207.9 | 0.74× |
| Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff | 1 in 125 | $11.50 | 25.2% | 502 | 554.5 | 0.91× |
| Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New)weapon · Classified | 1 in 100 | $6.71 | 18.4% | 790 | 693.1 | 1.14× |
| Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New)weapon · Mythical | 1 in 33 | $1.54 | 12.6% | 2,038 | 2079.4 | 0.98× |
| Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff | 1 in 21 | $0.76 | 9.8% | 3,255 | 3257.8 | 1.00× |
| Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Uncommon | 43.0% | $0.03 | 3.5% | 29,782 | 29805.0 | 1.00× |
| Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · Common | 47.2% | $0.01 | 1.3% | 32,793 | 32716.2 | 1.00× |
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
skinclub:apiv2/cases/farm-zeus, 12 Nov, 15:00 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 91.38%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov, 15:00 UTC | $0.40 | 91.38% | 7 |
| 12 Nov, 08:56 UTC | $0.40 | 91.72% | 7 |
| 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC | $0.40 | 91.89% | 7 |
| 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $0.41 | 91.43% | 7 |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $0.40 | 92.67% | 7 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $0.40 | 91.70% | 7 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $0.41 | 92.27% | 7 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $0.40 | 93.12% | 7 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $0.40 | 92.20% | 7 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $0.41 | 91.41% | 7 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $0.38 | 92.37% | 7 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $0.36 | 93.49% | 7 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $0.36 | 93.46% | 7 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $0.36 | 93.38% | 7 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $0.36 | 93.37% | 7 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $0.36 | 93.06% | 7 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $0.36 | 93.12% | 7 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $0.38 | 92.49% | 7 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $0.39 | 91.83% | 7 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $0.36 | 93.33% | 7 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $0.36 | 93.32% | 7 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $0.37 | 91.63% | 7 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $0.37 | 92.28% | 7 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $0.37 | 91.93% | 7 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $0.38 | 91.28% | 7 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $0.37 | 91.51% | 7 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.37 | 91.66% | 7 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $0.39 | 91.56% | 7 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $0.37 | 91.26% | 7 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $0.37 | 92.72% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrare 0.3%#8847ff 0.8%Classified 1.0%Mythical 3.0%#4b69ff 4.7%Uncommon 43.0%Common 47.2%best hit $38.29 (103.5x)