Glove
A case on Skin.club (Classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.
Price
$14.50
Advertised RTP
92.49%
EV $13.41 from 59 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.58%
12.9K openings, odds method
Variance
7.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 15
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
78.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values59 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
skinclub:apiv2/cases/glove, 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.49%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $14.50 | 92.49% | 59 |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $14.49 | 92.47% | 59 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $14.49 | 92.51% | 59 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $14.45 | 92.52% | 59 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $14.38 | 92.52% | 59 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $14.38 | 92.48% | 59 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $14.44 | 92.47% | 59 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $14.42 | 92.49% | 59 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $14.44 | 92.47% | 59 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $14.50 | 92.53% | 59 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $14.52 | 92.47% | 59 |
| 9 Nov, 02:03 UTC | $14.58 | 92.49% | 59 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $14.59 | 92.52% | 59 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $14.60 | 92.50% | 59 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $14.59 | 92.51% | 59 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $14.58 | 92.52% | 59 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $14.63 | 92.48% | 59 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $14.58 | 92.47% | 59 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $14.61 | 92.50% | 59 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $14.53 | 92.50% | 59 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $14.49 | 92.48% | 59 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $14.42 | 92.51% | 59 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $14.48 | 92.49% | 59 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $14.44 | 92.49% | 59 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $14.54 | 92.51% | 59 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $14.60 | 92.47% | 59 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $14.61 | 92.50% | 59 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $14.61 | 92.53% | 59 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $14.62 | 92.52% | 59 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $14.60 | 92.52% | 59 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 1.4%covert 0.5%gold 0.2%Mythical 31.1%classified 6.8%Legendary 4.8%Rare 35.7%pink 1.1%mil spec 11.9%restricted 6.5%best hit $1,005 (69.92x)