Jörmungandr
A case on Skin.club (Colossal Hoards), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.
Price
$2.56
Advertised RTP
92.65%
EV $2.37 from 50 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.32%
25.5K openings, odds method
Variance
46.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 108
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
84.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values50 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 25.6K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
skinclub:apiv2/cases/jormungandr, 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · Immortal · Emerald$2.62$594226.6x
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · EmeraldKekas$2.59$584225.3x
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · Immortal · Emerald$2.59$578223.1x
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emeraldemancomchua$2.58$564218.7x
★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · EmeraldHVAC Cregyy$2.59$509196.4x
★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · EmeraldBaron Heinz$2.59$495191.2x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.65%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $2.56 | 92.65% | 50 |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $2.55 | 92.66% | 50 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $2.55 | 92.61% | 50 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $2.56 | 92.53% | 50 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $2.55 | 92.59% | 50 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $2.56 | 92.35% | 50 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $2.56 | 92.54% | 50 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $2.57 | 92.49% | 50 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $2.56 | 92.63% | 50 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $2.58 | 92.39% | 50 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $2.58 | 92.53% | 50 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $2.58 | 92.54% | 50 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $2.58 | 92.38% | 50 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $2.58 | 92.56% | 50 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $2.60 | 92.33% | 50 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $2.59 | 92.53% | 50 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $2.60 | 92.45% | 50 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $2.59 | 92.56% | 50 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $2.59 | 92.51% | 50 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $2.58 | 92.59% | 50 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $2.58 | 92.49% | 50 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $2.58 | 92.55% | 50 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $2.58 | 92.36% | 50 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $2.57 | 92.56% | 50 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $2.58 | 92.53% | 50 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $2.59 | 92.39% | 50 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $2.59 | 92.58% | 50 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $2.60 | 92.50% | 50 |
| 4 Nov, 22:34 UTC | $2.60 | 92.61% | 50 |
| 4 Nov, 16:30 UTC | $2.59 | 92.61% | 50 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedImmortal 0.1%restricted 3.0%covert 0.6%red 0.3%legendary 0.0%gold 0.1%Ancient 0.4%rare 0.5%extraordinary 0.0%uncommon 0.2%#d32ce6 2.2%classified 1.0%Legendary 2.9%mil spec 17.0%Rare 47.7%Mythical 24.0%best hit $852 (325.2x)