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Kraken

A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

Price
$19.01
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
101.08%
9,112 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
645 openings · below min
7 days
108.18%±25.746,401 openings
30 days
101.08%±18.679,112 openings
since tracking started
101.08%±18.679,112 openings
13.5%74.0%134.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h64573.36%±59.2—sample
7d6,401108.18%±25.7—sample
30d9,112101.08%±18.7—sample
All9,112101.08%±18.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogSkin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)weapon · legendary$19.01$9,491499.3x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · SapphireMajky$19.01$5,327280.2x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · Sapphire$19.67$4,934250.9x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · Sapphire$19.65$4,897249.2x
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$19.53$3,541181.3x
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryoji$19.83$3,430173.0x
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$19.01$3,392178.4x
★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New)gloves · extraordinarySS$19.54$3,215164.6x
M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified$19.82$3,038153.3x
M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified$19.01$2,882151.6x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Factory New)weapon · milspec$19.60$0.560.03x
MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Factory New)weapon · Raregg's only$19.60$0.380.02x
MP7 | Impire (Factory New)weapon · restricted$19.60$7.590.39x
XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary$19.60$3.810.19x
Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Factory New)weapon · milspec$19.60$0.560.03x
MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Factory New)weapon · mil specgg's only$19.60$1.830.09x
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New)weapon · blue$19.60$0.280.01x
USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$19.60$7.090.36x
Glock-18 | Off World (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$19.60$0.390.02x
MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Factory New)weapon · Raregg's only$19.60$0.380.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $9,491 (499.3x)