Price
$0.05
Advertised RTP
86.05%
EV $0.04 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
226.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
30.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
100.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · rare | 1 in 3,333 | $43.44 | 30.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Five-SeveN | Coolant (Field-Tested)weapon · #777777 | 1 in 10 | $0.03 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #5e98d9 | 1 in 10 | $0.03 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| AUG | Commando Company (Factory New)weapon · #b0c3d9 | 1 in 10 | $0.03 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New)weapon · #b0c3d9 | 1 in 10 | $0.03 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| MAG-7 | Copper Oxide (Factory New)weapon · #b0c3d9 | 1 in 10 | $0.03 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| UMP-45 | Green Swirl (Factory New)weapon · #b0c3d9 | 1 in 10 | $0.03 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial | 1 in 10 | $0.03 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Negev | Sour Grapes (Field-Tested)weapon · blueLight | 1 in 10 | $0.03 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New)weapon · #b0c3d9 | 1 in 10 | $0.03 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| MP5-SD | Picnic (Field-Tested)weapon · Uncommon | 1 in 10 | $0.03 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
skinclub:apiv2/cases/lvl-10, 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $0.05 | 86.05% | 11 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $0.05 | 86.33% | 3 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrare 0.0%#777777 10.0%#5e98d9 10.0%#b0c3d9 50.0%industrial 10.0%blueLight 10.0%Uncommon 10.0%