Level 30
A case on Skin.club (daily cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.
Price
$0.11
Advertised RTP
87.37%
EV $0.10 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
168.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 943 | $43.96 | 48.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Tec-9 | Blue Blast (Factory New)weapon · #b0c3d9 | 10.6% | $0.10 | 11.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff | 10.6% | $0.10 | 11.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon | 11.8% | $0.05 | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| FAMAS | Vendetta (Minimal Wear)weapon · blueLight | 11.8% | $0.05 | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Nova | Predator (Well-Worn)weapon · Common | 13.8% | $0.03 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New)weapon · consumer | 13.8% | $0.03 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| M4A4 | Steel Work (Field-Tested)weapon · Uncommon | 13.8% | $0.03 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| CZ75-Auto | Honey Paisley (Factory New)weapon · Common | 13.8% | $0.03 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
skinclub:apiv2/cases/lvl-30, 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $0.11 | 87.37% | 9 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $0.11 | 87.37% | 5 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.1%#b0c3d9 10.6%#4b69ff 10.6%Uncommon 25.6%blueLight 11.8%Common 27.6%consumer 13.8%