Level 50
A case on Skin.club (daily cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.
Price
$0.58
Advertised RTP
89.75%
EV $0.52 from 5 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
319.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 610
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 610 | $256 | 80.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff | 20.6% | $0.18 | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Sticker | Bolt Chargesticker · pink | 20.6% | $0.18 | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Nova | Mandrel (Factory New)weapon · Common | 28.5% | $0.05 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| SSG 08 | Calligrafaux (Field-Tested)weapon · Uncommon | 30.1% | $0.04 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
skinclub:apiv2/cases/lvl-50, 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $0.58 | 89.75% | 5 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.2%#4b69ff 20.6%pink 20.6%Common 28.5%Uncommon 30.1%