Price
$1.14
Advertised RTP
89.96%
EV $1.03 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
225.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 408
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
96.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst (Minimal Wear)gloves · Immortal | 1 in 408 | $346 | 82.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 31 | $1.72 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted | 1 in 27 | $1.01 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical | 1 in 21 | $0.68 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec | 10.4% | $0.27 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| MP5-SD | Snow Splash (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial | 77.6% | $0.03 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
skinclub:apiv2/cases/lvl-60, 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $1.14 | 89.96% | 6 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $1.14 | 89.96% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedImmortal 0.2%mil spec 3.3%restricted 3.7%Mythical 4.8%milspec 10.4%industrial 77.6%