Level 80
A case on Skin.club (daily cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.
Price
$5.25
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $4.72 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
9.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 10
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
73.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
skinclub:apiv2/cases/lvl-80, 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $5.25 | 89.99% | 14 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $5.25 | 89.99% | 14 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.0%covert knife 0.9%Immortal 1.2%restricted 15.6%classified 10.4%Legendary 6.9%Rare 12.0%violet 13.8%Mythical 16.9%mil spec 22.2%