Price
$1.56
Advertised RTP
92.73%
EV $1.45 from 23 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.01%
37.8K openings, odds method
Variance
8.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 25
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
89.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 37.8K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
skinclub:apiv2/cases/majors-legend, 12 Nov, 08:56 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.73%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov, 08:56 UTC | $1.56 | 92.73% | 23 |
| 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC | $1.57 | 92.63% | 23 |
| 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $1.59 | 92.34% | 23 |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $1.59 | 92.61% | 23 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $1.67 | 92.51% | 23 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $1.61 | 92.39% | 23 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $1.63 | 92.37% | 23 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $1.60 | 92.24% | 23 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $1.63 | 92.67% | 23 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $1.60 | 92.37% | 23 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $1.55 | 92.54% | 23 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $1.54 | 92.42% | 23 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $1.73 | 92.58% | 23 |
| 9 Nov, 02:03 UTC | $1.75 | 92.71% | 23 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $1.76 | 92.74% | 23 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $1.74 | 92.46% | 23 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $1.77 | 92.50% | 23 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $1.77 | 92.35% | 23 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $1.77 | 92.72% | 23 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $1.73 | 92.31% | 23 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $1.75 | 92.38% | 23 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $1.81 | 92.34% | 23 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $1.78 | 92.44% | 23 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $1.79 | 92.28% | 23 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $1.82 | 92.36% | 23 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $1.75 | 92.39% | 23 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $1.71 | 92.43% | 23 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $1.70 | 92.70% | 23 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $1.68 | 92.44% | 23 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $1.71 | 92.28% | 23 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedLegendary 8.2%Mythical 1.7%Rare 90.2%best hit —