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Operation Phoenix Weapon

A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

Price
$2.83
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
90.20%
11.8K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
103.07%±16.011,467 openings
7 days
92.42%±5.759,151 openings
30 days
90.20%±4.8811.8K openings
since tracking started
90.20%±4.8811.8K openings
84.5%102.0%119.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,467103.07%±16.0—sample
7d9,15192.42%±5.75—sample
30d11.8K90.20%±4.88—sample
All11.8K90.20%±4.88—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogSkin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$2.84$0.530.19x
Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$2.84$3.201.13x
MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$2.84$0.530.19x
MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New)weapon · mil specKick:OnYarn$2.84$0.530.19x
Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$2.84$0.430.15x
MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New)weapon · mil specSABANERO$2.84$0.530.19x
Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$2.84$0.430.15x
P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary$2.84$11.574.07x
MAC-10 | Heat (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical$2.84$5.181.82x
Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$2.84$0.430.15x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —