Scratcher
A case on Skin.club (Sticker Capsules), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.
Price
$0.42
Advertised RTP
93.10%
EV $0.39 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.75%
85.4K openings, odds method
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
31.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 85.5K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
skinclub:apiv2/cases/scratcher, 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 93.10%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $0.42 | 93.10% | 16 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $0.42 | 91.90% | 16 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $0.42 | 91.63% | 16 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $0.43 | 92.84% | 16 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $0.43 | 92.37% | 16 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $0.43 | 92.45% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $0.44 | 91.72% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $0.43 | 93.34% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $0.46 | 93.27% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 02:03 UTC | $0.46 | 92.57% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $0.46 | 92.27% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $0.46 | 92.75% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $0.46 | 93.25% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $0.46 | 92.37% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $0.46 | 92.49% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $0.46 | 93.48% | 16 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $0.46 | 92.77% | 16 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $0.46 | 92.52% | 16 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $0.46 | 93.05% | 16 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $0.47 | 93.00% | 16 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $0.47 | 92.46% | 16 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $0.47 | 91.92% | 16 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $0.47 | 93.16% | 16 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.47 | 92.29% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $0.47 | 91.80% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $0.46 | 92.81% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $0.46 | 93.37% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $0.47 | 92.08% | 16 |
| 4 Nov, 22:34 UTC | $0.46 | 92.21% | 16 |
| 4 Nov, 16:30 UTC | $0.46 | 92.64% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedLegendary 3.8%Ancient 0.6%Mythical 1.2%Rare 69.4%#4b69ff 9.0%High Grade 16.0%best hit —