The Safecracker

A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

Price
$35.41
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
92.77%
46.1K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
90.76%±7.897,732 openings
7 days
93.24%±3.6335.6K openings
30 days
92.77%±3.1746.1K openings
since tracking started
92.77%±3.1746.1K openings
82.0%90.8%99.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h7,73290.76%±7.89—sample
7d35.6K93.24%±3.63—sample
30d46.1K92.77%±3.17—sample
All46.1K92.77%±3.17—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogSkin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Charm | Baby Karat Tcharm · #eb4b4b$34.96$11.450.33x
Charm | Quick Silvercharm · red$34.96$25.690.73x
Charm | Baby Karat Tcharm · #eb4b4b$34.96$11.450.33x
Charm | Quick Silvercharm · red$34.96$25.690.73x
Charm | Baby Karat CTcharm · rare$34.96$7.340.21x
Charm | Baby Karat Tcharm · #eb4b4b$34.96$11.450.33x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $3,098 (88.04x)